2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free.

Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.66	-3.7	-0.2	1479	0.1	26.6	-26.5	1.05	0.9	-0.8	-0.2%	14.3%	-14.5%	.95	-0.7%	6.4	0.9	0.95	13.5	44	24	56
Atlanta Braves	3.85	23.4	2.7	1303	4.4	24.9	-20.5	1.05	4.7	-0.4	3.0%	17.0%	-14.0%	1.19	-0.3%	36.3	4.0	0.93	51.0	39	23	46
Baltimore Orioles	3.72	16.8	2.0	1377	4.0	25.9	-21.9	1.04	3.6	0.2	2.9%	17.3%	-14.3%	1.15	0.4%	36.6	4.3	0.89	35.0	45	28	53
Boston Red Sox	3.51	44.3	4.9	1405	3.2	25.4	-22.2	1.04	4.6	-1.5	1.8%	15.2%	-13.4%	1.04	-1.0%	45.7	4.9	0.92	53.5	42	34	41
Chicago Cubs	4.24	17.1	2.6	1492	3.2	29.4	-26.2	1.12	3.5	-0.6	2.1%	18.9%	-16.9%	1.20	-0.4%	19.8	2.9	0.95	31.0	51	24	50
Chicago White Sox	5.21	-25.9	-2.5	1515	-2.3	25.9	-28.2	1.03	-2.3	0.1	-0.5%	5.8%	-6.2%	.38	0.1%	-25.6	-2.3	0.95	-27.7	52	34	51
Cincinnati Reds	4.41	9.4	1.1	1456	0.5	22.0	-21.5	.89	0.5	0.1	0.2%	12.4%	-12.1%	.84	0.0%	11.3	1.3	0.95	9.6	31	28	54
Cleveland Guardians	3.79	16.3	2.0	1500	3.4	29.0	-25.5	1.07	2.7	0.4	2.4%	20.4%	-18.0%	1.26	0.3%	34.4	4.0	0.94	31.5	61	32	55
Colorado Rockies	5.78	-24.5	-2.1	1496	-4.2	21.0	-25.2	.88	-2.3	-2.5	-1.6%	6.2%	-7.8%	.44	-2.4%	-32.6	-2.7	0.95	-19.5	28	23	55
Detroit Tigers	3.86	23.9	2.7	1402	2.8	27.7	-24.9	1.11	3.9	-1.3	1.7%	17.6%	-15.9%	1.18	-0.8%	31.9	3.5	0.92	44.8	52	26	33
Houston Astros	5.22	-37.8	-3.2	1497	-1.6	24.5	-26.2	.97	-2.3	0.7	-0.8%	9.1%	-9.9%	.61	0.1%	-22.4	-1.5	0.99	-20.4	37	29	60
Kansas City Royals	3.41	31.6	3.6	1471	4.7	27.8	-23.2	1.05	3.6	0.8	2.8%	17.5%	-14.7%	1.11	0.5%	44.3	5.0	0.96	42.6	46	29	46
Los Angeles Angels	5.21	-23.2	-2.2	1496	-1.7	21.2	-22.9	.82	-0.9	-1.2	-0.9%	10.3%	-11.1%	.66	-0.7%	-20.8	-1.8	0.93	-7.4	21	24	69
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.59	35.9	3.8	1488	4.6	24.8	-20.3	.93	5.6	-0.7	3.1%	17.1%	-14.0%	1.07	-0.4%	51.2	5.5	0.91	62.0	36	37	49
Miami Marlins	5.69	-33.2	-2.8	1593	-4.1	24.0	-28.1	.94	-1.3	-3.1	-1.2%	6.5%	-7.7%	.43	-1.8%	-35.5	-2.8	0.98	-18.5	35	32	64
Milwaukee Brewers	4.30	5.1	0.8	1453	2.9	25.1	-22.2	1.00	1.3	1.7	2.0%	17.2%	-15.2%	1.14	1.1%	13.9	1.9	0.96	11.4	42	29	52
Minnesota Twins	4.19	2.9	0.5	1419	2.2	24.0	-21.8	.95	2.7	-0.4	1.2%	13.1%	-11.9%	.86	-0.3%	17.4	2.1	0.92	29.2	43	29	46
New York Mets	4.33	5.3	0.9	1463	2.5	28.3	-25.8	1.15	2.0	0.1	1.2%	15.1%	-13.9%	1.03	0.0%	16.9	2.1	0.99	25.1	56	26	42
New York Yankees	3.46	36.9	3.9	1509	5.5	29.8	-24.3	1.11	3.2	1.7	3.8%	20.7%	-17.0%	1.29	1.0%	48.0	5.1	0.96	32.7	48	25	44
Oakland Athletics	4.67	-13.0	-1.1	1547	1.2	25.1	-23.9	.92	-0.7	2.0	0.1%	11.6%	-11.5%	.72	0.6%	-10.6	-0.8	0.99	-12.9	36	31	50
Philadelphia Phillies	3.66	31.5	3.7	1460	5.0	26.1	-21.0	1.00	4.7	0.4	3.1%	16.3%	-13.2%	1.04	0.2%	39.9	4.7	0.93	51.5	44	21	47
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.11	13.3	1.5	1465	2.2	26.7	-24.4	1.04	2.4	-0.2	1.1%	15.8%	-14.6%	1.03	-0.4%	22.5	2.5	0.94	28.4	49	24	44
San Diego Padres	4.55	-7.8	-0.5	1541	-0.4	23.9	-24.4	.91	0.8	-1.2	-0.4%	13.7%	-14.0%	.87	-0.9%	3.2	0.6	0.93	10.4	36	35	64
Seattle Mariners	3.61	16.9	1.8	1398	2.3	22.7	-20.4	.92	3.8	-1.4	1.1%	13.0%	-11.9%	.89	-1.1%	32.7	3.7	0.89	42.9	33	23	57
San Francisco Giants	4.82	-24.3	-1.9	1514	1.2	22.6	-21.4	.88	0.7	0.7	0.4%	11.7%	-11.2%	.76	0.2%	-11.4	-0.5	0.95	-0.1	28	30	67
St. Louis Cardinals	4.54	1.0	0.4	1424	0.4	24.4	-24.0	.98	0.6	-0.2	0.1%	12.2%	-12.1%	.82	-0.2%	6.3	0.9	0.94	9.8	32	39	44
Tampa Bay Rays	4.87	-21.2	-2.0	1520	0.7	26.5	-25.9	1.04	0.2	0.5	0.2%	13.6%	-13.4%	.89	0.1%	-4.8	-0.3	0.94	0.0	51	25	42
Texas Rangers	4.36	0.2	0.4	1494	3.3	26.7	-23.4	1.02	3.6	-0.3	1.9%	16.6%	-14.7%	1.06	-0.3%	10.7	1.7	0.93	34.3	46	24	44
Toronto Blue Jays	4.81	-24.2	-2.1	1429	0.4	21.8	-21.4	.87	-1.9	2.3	0.2%	11.8%	-11.6%	.78	1.4%	-15.8	-1.2	0.96	-24.3	20	39	64
Washington Nationals	4.42	2.4	0.6	1434	0.7	24.9	-24.2	1.00	0.8	-0.1	0.1%	12.6%	-12.5%	.85	-0.4%	9.8	1.5	0.96	10.4	42	36	57
League Average	4.36	3	1	1468	2	25	-24	.99	2	-0	1%	14%	-13%	.91	0%	12	2	0	18	41	29	52
	4.36	95.7	19.1	44040	46.9	758.8	-711.9	.99	48.7	-1.3	31.3%	420.7%	-389.5%	.91	5.1%	359.8	49.2	0.94	530.1	1226	863	1546
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo